(PUB) Investing 2016
3
March 2016
Morningstar FundInvestor
Fleeing in Droves: Funds With Most Outflows in Percentage Terms
its management structure, but the rebound had better come soon. We have maintained our Bronze rating on the fund. I’m worried about the $1 . 8 billion in outflows that’s cut Buffalo Small Cap BUFSX down to just $917 million. A performance slump, big outflows, and a manager change amount to some big challenges here. We lowered the fund to Neutral in September. PIMCO All Asset All Authority PAUDX should be able handle its 56% ( $8 billion) outflow quite well because it invests in other PIMCO funds. However, I mention it here because it is responsible for much of the outflows at some smaller PIMCO funds. Even there it will likely be manageable, as PIMCO has greater advance warning of redemptions and works with manager Rob Arnott to ensure a smooth withdrawal process. Artisan Value ARTLX , Artisan Mid Cap Value ARTQX , and Artisan Small Cap Value ARTVX have endured redemptions of 71% , 54% , and 53% , respectively and just before we published this issue, Artisan announced that Small Cap Value was going to merge into Mid Cap Value. The team chose Small Cap Value to merge away because it was the smallest of the three. In a different time, a fund with a strong long track record would have been kept alive. All three are good funds that are in a slump. Artisan Value has a small asset base and focuses on large caps, so no issues there. Artisan Mid Cap Value is a little more concerning, given that it had $3 . 8 billion in outflows, but the fund is closed to new investors, and I would have expected Artisan to reopen to new investors if the disruptions were significant. To be sure, though, we’re watching closely, given that we have a Silver rating on the fund. Greenspring GRSPX has suffered outflows of 49% , and that worries me. Normally, allocation funds are built to handle quite a lot of money—and outflows— because they own large-cap stocks and high-quality bonds. But Greenspring favors small-value stocks and high yield, which makes for a bit of headwind when flows are strongly against the fund. K
One-Year Growth Rate (%)
Jan 2016 Flow ($Mil)
One-Year Flow ($Mil)
Current Fund Size ($Mil)
Morningstar Analyst Rating
Total Ret % Rank Cat 5-Yr
Fund Name/Ticker
Manning & Napier Equity EXEYX
-85
-40
-804
120
90
´
Artisan Value ARTLX
-71
12
-303
882
86
´
PIMCO RAE Fundamental Adv PLUS PFSDX -67
-261
-1,541
685
62
Manning & Napier World Opp EXWAX
-67
-108
-3,207
1,391
90
´
Buffalo Small Cap BUFSX
-63
-83
-1,852
917
71
ˇ
PIMCO All Asset All Authority PAUDX
-56
-471
-8,511
8,630
88
´
Artisan Mid Cap Value ARTQX
-54
-175
-3,818
4,894
69
•
Columbia Acorn ACRNX
-53
-225
-7,691
6,069
78
ˇ
ASTON/River Road Sm Cap Value ARSVX -53
-5
-34
234
49
Artisan Small Cap Value ARTVX
-52
-15
-602
367
99
´
Dreyfus Appreciation DGAGX
-50
-68
-2,637
2,374
81
´
PIMCO Unconstrained Bond PUBDX
-50
-238
-5,134
5,468
75
ˇ
Greenspring GRSPX
-49
-12
-303
285
95
RiverPark/Wedgewood RWGFX
-48
-53
-58
1,690
58
•
Columbia Acorn USA AUSAX
-46
-189
-563
640
65
PIMCO All Asset PASDX
-45
-634
-8,356 19,868
65
Œ
Royce Premier RYPRX
-45 -1,548
-2,281
2,274
92
´
AMG Yacktman Focused Service YAFFX
-45
-187
-5,229
5,033
61
•
Royce Pennsylvania Mutual PENNX
-44
-175
-2,222
2,625
85
ˇ
Berwyn BERWX
-44
-13
-140
142
88
•
Performance data as of Feb. 29, 2016. Flow and size data as of Jan. 31, 2016.
where a performance slump and big redemptions in a bloated portfolio led us to downgrade the fund to an Analyst Rating of Neutral. Since then, though, Columbia Acorn has shaken up management to try to turn things around. Finally, an entire fund complex can be affected by redemptions at a number of funds. I’ll tackle this issue in The Contrarian on Page 10 . Manning & Napier Equity ’s EXEYX 85% outflow is remarkable even for a slumping fund. The total dollar value of outflows was a modest $800 million, however, which shouldn’t be a problem for a large-cap fund like this one, but I do have worries about the firm. Manning & Napier World Opportunities ’ EXWAX 67% outflow is a little more worrisome given that it had to sell $3 . 2 billion, but even here I’m more worried about the firm-level impact. The firm made a bad call on energy that has hurt returns across a number of its funds. It has overhauled
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